Analysis of Factors Influencing the Indicator of Siberia’s Trade with Foreign Countries
The study has been supported by the Russian Science Foundation, project No. 23-77-10048.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52575/2712-7443-2026-50-1-149-158Keywords:
foreign trade, demographic centers, orthodromy, geographic proximity, GDP, SiberiaAbstract
The article is devoted to identifying factors (or a group of factors) that influence the value of foreign trade turnover of a specific country (or region), in particular, Siberia. Approaches to determining the geographical proximity of countries are considered. Summarizing previous studies, the author puts forward a hypothesis that the value of the joint trade turnover of a specific country (or region) is directly proportional to the values of the gross domestic product (GDP) of all counterparty countries and inversely proportional to the orthodromic distance between the demographic centers of the counterparty countries and the desired country (or region). To detect the closeness of the relationship between the indicators, the method of correlation analysis was used, which allowed determining the strength of the correlation between the value of Siberia’s foreign trade turnover and the values of the GDP of the counterparty countries, their remoteness, as well as with both of the latter indicators together. The highest strength of the relationship with the value of Siberia’s foreign trade turnover was demonstrated by the ratio of the GDP of the counterparty countries to the proximity of their demographic centers to the Siberian one.
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Tinbergen J. 1962. Shaping the World Economy. New York, Twentieth Century Fund, 330 p.
Tobler W.R. 1970. A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region. Economic Geography, 46: 234–240.
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